Recall the recent Maricopa County, Arizona straw poll of GOP activists that showed Duncan Hunter winning and John McCain coming in fourth. It was shocking to see McCain fair so poorly in his home state. Hunter’s success suggested that immigration was going to be the paramount issue for Republican voters in Arizona.
Two new polls of Arizona show the Maricopa County straw poll was bunk. I won’t get into why straw polls of activist caucuses tend to be inaccurate (hint: it starts with “v” and ends with “ote buying”), but wanted to reproduce the two new polls that show McCain dominating the field in Arizona.
Arizona State University-KAET
John McCain – 54%
Newt Gingrich – 14%
Mitt Romney – 9%
Duncan Hunter – 2%
No Opinion – 21%
Behavior Research Center
MoE: +/- 6.3%
John McCain – 40%
Condi Rice – 15%
Rudy Giuliani – 13%
Newt Gingrich – 9%
Undecided – 12%
The ASU-KAET poll only looked at McCain and the three contenders who out performed him in the Maricopa County straw poll. The Behavior Research Center’s poll did not include Duncan Hunter.
4 Responses to “Maricopa Co. Straw Poll Rebutted, Twice Over”
[...] Recent Comments Emboldened » Blog Archive » CPAC: Candidates Striking Fear In The Hearts Of Voters on Maricopa Co. Straw Poll Rebutted, Twice Overjczacher on Spartanburg (S.C.) Straw Poll Results Threadmatt on Giuliani’s Race ProblemExpo on Spartanburg (S.C.) Straw Poll Results ThreadMatt Browner Hamlin on Spartanburg (S.C.) Straw Poll Results Thread The Right’s Field Asks: [...]
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[...] That said, he made good faith attempts to project the viability of his campaign, noting his strong performances in the Maricopa County (AZ) and Spartanburg (SC) straw polls and spent lots of time waxing poetic about the virtue of fences, fences on top of fences and fences surrounding roads. Somewhere in there I’m pretty sure Hunter praised robots. Lastly, Hunter bizarrely touted running television ads in New Hampshire and South Carolina — his campaign is suspected of illegally using funds from his political action committee to pay for the presidential ads. [...]
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March 2, 2007 at 11:44am