Comments on: Rudy Giuliani’s Electability Problem http://rightsfield.com/2007/10/04/rudy-giulianis-electability-problem/ Holding Our Noses So You Don't Have To Wed, 17 Mar 2010 14:35:06 -0700 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: ChicagoDude http://rightsfield.com/2007/10/04/rudy-giulianis-electability-problem/comment-page-1/#comment-16593 ChicagoDude Fri, 05 Oct 2007 04:20:18 +0000 http://rightsfield.com/2007/10/04/rudy-giulianis-electability-problem/#comment-16593 I'm just wondering who that 3rd party candidate possibly could be? Anyone wanna guess? Santorum? I’m just wondering who that 3rd party candidate possibly could be? Anyone wanna guess? Santorum?

]]> By: The Sleep Thief http://rightsfield.com/2007/10/04/rudy-giulianis-electability-problem/comment-page-1/#comment-16529 The Sleep Thief Thu, 04 Oct 2007 16:57:12 +0000 http://rightsfield.com/2007/10/04/rudy-giulianis-electability-problem/#comment-16529 New Rasmussen poll shows a hypothetical pro-life third-party candidate pulling 14% of the vote to Rudy's 30 and Hillary's 46. About what you'd expect I'd say. I thik Dobson would do it because (a) he like most people probably believes the Republicans are toast in 2008 anyway (b) by being able to claim he's the reason they lost, he can insist he never be ignored again and (c) if he supports a pro-choice Republican who loses, it's devastating because he has compromised his principles and ended up with nothing. I really believe this might happen. If they thought Rudy might win, they might just quietly fall into line, expressing some principled objections but mostly just staying out of it and quietly telling supporters to support the cadidate, but every poll that shows Rudy (or Romney) trailing Hillary makes this third-party run more likely. And of course you'll start hearing the old Nader argument, that by bringing conservatives to the polls it will help Republicans down-ballot. And who knows, maybe it would. New Rasmussen poll shows a hypothetical pro-life third-party candidate pulling 14% of the vote to Rudy’s 30 and Hillary’s 46. About what you’d expect I’d say. I thik Dobson would do it because (a) he like most people probably believes the Republicans are toast in 2008 anyway (b) by being able to claim he’s the reason they lost, he can insist he never be ignored again and (c) if he supports a pro-choice Republican who loses, it’s devastating because he has compromised his principles and ended up with nothing. I really believe this might happen. If they thought Rudy might win, they might just quietly fall into line, expressing some principled objections but mostly just staying out of it and quietly telling supporters to support the cadidate, but every poll that shows Rudy (or Romney) trailing Hillary makes this third-party run more likely. And of course you’ll start hearing the old Nader argument, that by bringing conservatives to the polls it will help Republicans down-ballot. And who knows, maybe it would.

]]> By: Joe Helfrich http://rightsfield.com/2007/10/04/rudy-giulianis-electability-problem/comment-page-1/#comment-16526 Joe Helfrich Thu, 04 Oct 2007 16:19:39 +0000 http://rightsfield.com/2007/10/04/rudy-giulianis-electability-problem/#comment-16526 I certainly hope not. Not only would this massively improve our chances in the general, but it would be a way of proving, based on the numbers of votes delivered for this hypothetical third party candidate, just how large (or more accurately, small) the core of right wing nut jobs really is, hopefully reducing their influence everywhere. For a long time, I'd thought Rudy was our biggest risk. If this break holds, he might end up being our biggest opportunity. I certainly hope not. Not only would this massively improve our chances in the general, but it would be a way of proving, based on the numbers of votes delivered for this hypothetical third party candidate, just how large (or more accurately, small) the core of right wing nut jobs really is, hopefully reducing their influence everywhere.

For a long time, I’d thought Rudy was our biggest risk. If this break holds, he might end up being our biggest opportunity.

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