You can see the poll on the left. There’s this idea in the media that Rudy Giuliani is somehow outfoxing his opponents, by consistently losing badly until Florida, when he’ll suddenly become a hero and king again. Yesterday we had several pundits claim that the Michigan results were “great news for Rudy Giuliani.”
OK, Rudy received 3% of the vote. In four primaries so far, he’s finished 6th, out of the money (hard to give a place number in that wacky Wyoming primary), 4th, and 6th. And he’s headed for another sixth-place finish in South Carolina. He’s lost to Ron Paul at least twice. He’s lost to Fred Thompson, who doesn’t even know he’s still running for President, THREE TIMES. Yesterday he almost lost to “Uncommitted”. In Michigan he scored only 3,000 more votes than Dennis Kucinich.
Floridians are not a different species of American than other people. Giuliani spent the second-most money in New Hampshire and had a fairly robust under-the-radar campaign in Iowa and he got nowhere. The more he campaigns, the less he seems to be liked. His initial strategy was based on leading the national numbers and that is no longer the case. His Florida numbers are pretty much the same as everyone else’s despite the fact that he’s been alone there for two weeks, dumping money into the state. After South Carolina and Nevada Rudy will have company for ten days until the primary.
It’s worth asking whether Rudy meets the criteria for future debates, not asking whether his super-secret strategy is working.
UPDATE: In addition, Romney is clearly in the lead, with two firsts and two seconds, as well as a convincing win in the largest state. That’s all subject to change, of course, and I suspect he’ll ignore South Carolina to an extent to focus on the bigger delegate prize in Nevada (because of RNC delegate-stripping; SC is a bigger state) so he can notch another victory.
5 Responses to “The Brilliant Strategy of Getting Nobody To Vote For Him”
This blog post is clearly great news for Rudy Giuliani!
maybe rudy has bigger problems to worry about. this site unconventionally predicts a democratic win, regardless of the GOP candidate. http://www.WhyTheDemocratsWillWinIn2008.com
you simply don’t understand. first, rudy was outspent by both mccain and romney in NH. when rudy was going all in NH he and mccain were splitting independents, and romney was winning. rudy’s strategy was clear, use mccain to knock romney off, because if romney had won NH he may have run the table. keeping the field divided has always been the purpose of the strategy, relying on a win in florida to complete it. and as of today, rudy is in position to win florida, and follow through exactly how the strategy laid out 7 months ago said he would. he could also lose florida to mccain, which in some ways is sitll good for him, considering many feel he would be a lock for mccain’s VP.
that little plug for mitt strikes me though. sounds like mccain’s continued domination of the democrat candidates in every single poll is starting to worry the libs, and all of a sudden mittflopper is your best friend lol. mccain will win SC, no one will notice romney in nevada and no one will care about him on feb. 5. after SC you will see 10 days of news about a mccain vs rudy showdown in florida, giving them all the attention and guaranteeing they will finish 1. and 2. in forida. all that will be left is to see which comes out on top. if mccain beats rudy, look for rudy to endorse mccain, pushing mccain even higher in the big rudy-states like california and new york.
you side has feared facing rudy in a general election, and you smearing of him may just net you an even tougher candidate to beat! wish for the mormon all you like, but if rudy loses, it will be to mccain, and good luck getting those swing state independents to choose the lying racist hillary over the legendary war hero. bwahahaaa
McCain doesn’t beat the Dems in “every single poll,” matthew.
Something to say?
So which unfortunate soul should be stuck with the task of telling Rudy that elections aren’t scored like golf?
Left by QXW
January 16, 2008 at 3:59pm